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İran
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More
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15
İran
264
Oil
0
Ukrayna
11
Ukrayna Haritası
2
Cuba
0
Venezuela
0
Orta Doğu
13
Gazze
0
İsrail
31
Suriye
0
Yemen
0
Türkiye
0
Sudan
0
Çin
9
Thailand-Cambodia
0
Hindistan - Pakistan
0
Jeopolitik
Jeopolitik
All
İran
Oil
Ukrayna
Ukrayna Haritası
Cuba
Venezuela
Orta Doğu
Gazze
İsrail
Suriye
Yemen
Türkiye
Sudan
Çin
Thailand-Cambodia
Hindistan - Pakistan
Ukrayna,... tarihine kadar Kırım topraklarını geri alacak mı?
30 Haziran 2027
12%
Evet
12%
Hayır
88%
December 31
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$3.7M Vol.
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 31
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
October 31
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
September 30
94%
Yes
94%
No
6%
September 15
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$771k Vol.
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
33%
chance
Yes
No
$361k Vol.
Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
96%
chance
Yes
No
$303k Vol.
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$215k Vol.
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$202k Vol.
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
59%
chance
Yes
No
$196k Vol.
Will Russia capture Toretske by...?
66%
chance
Yes
No
$154k Vol.
Putin ve Zelenskyy el mi sıkışıyor...?
31 Aralık
6%
Evet
6%
Hayır
94%
31 Ağustos
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$138k Vol.
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$122k Vol.
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
Before September 1, 2026
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
September 1 - 14, 2026
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
September 15 - 30, 2026
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
October 1 - 31, 2026
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
Does not return by November 1, 2026
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$85k Vol.
Where will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
China
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Japan
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
South Korea
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$78k Vol.
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change
86%
Yes
86%
No
14%
25 bps increase
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
50+ bps increase
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
25 bps decrease
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$49k Vol.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change
89%
Yes
89%
No
11%
25 bps increase
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
50+ bps increase
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
25 bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$45k Vol.
July Inflation China - Annual
≤0.6%
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
0.9% - 1.0%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
0.7% - 0.8%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
1.1% - 1.2%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
1.3%+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$39k Vol.
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?
5-7%
57%
Yes
57%
No
43%
3-5%
29%
Yes
29%
No
71%
7%+
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
<3%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$30k Vol.
Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 15
90%
Yes
90%
No
10%
August 8
49%
Yes
49%
No
51%
$26k Vol.
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
7-9%
54%
Yes
54%
No
46%
5-7%
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
9%+
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
<5%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$25k Vol.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?
8-11%
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
<8%
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
11-14%
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
14%+
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$22k Vol.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Linke
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
Party A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$20k Vol.
August Inflation China - Annual
0.7% - 0.8%
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
0.5% - 0.6%
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
0.9%+
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
0.3% - 0.4%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
≤0.2%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$19k Vol.
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin make landfall at Category 4 strength or higher?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$18k Vol.
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Over/Under 5%?
72%
Over
Over
Under
$17k Vol.
How many Israeli elections before government formed?
1
76%
Yes
76%
No
24%
2
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
3
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
4
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
0
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
5+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$17k Vol.
Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
SPD
72%
Yes
72%
No
28%
CDU
62%
Yes
62%
No
38%
Grüne
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
AfD
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
Linke
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
FDP
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$15k Vol.
Ukraine strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?
August 15
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
August 8
91%
Yes
91%
No
9%
$14k Vol.
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
No change
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
25 bps increase
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
50+ bps increase
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
25 bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$14k Vol.
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
31%+
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
25-28%
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
28-31%
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
<25%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$13k Vol.
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: AfD Over/Under 42%?
45%
Under
Over
Under
$13k Vol.
Oryol Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United Russia
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
Other
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party 1
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party 2
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party 3
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party 4
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$12k Vol.
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
September 1 - 14, 2026
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
September 15 - 30, 2026
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
October 1 - 31, 2026
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Does not return by November 1, 2026
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Before September 1, 2026
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$12k Vol.
Kirov Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner
United Russia
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Other
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party 1
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party 2
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party 3
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Party 4
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$12k Vol.
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