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Daily
Weekly
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Stocks
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Indices
Commodities
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Collectibles
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Earnings Calls
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Tahmin Piyasaları
Treasuries
Fed Decision in June?
No change
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
25 bps increase
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
25 bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50+ bps increase
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$76.2M Vol.
2026 'da kaç Fed faiz indirimi olacak?
0 (0 bp)
88%
Evet
88%
Hayır
12%
1 (25 baz puan)
9%
Evet
9%
Hayır
91%
2 (50 baz puan)
3%
Evet
3%
Hayır
97%
3 (75 baz puan)
1%
Evet
1%
Hayır
99%
4 (100 baz puan)
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
9 (225 baz puan)
0%
Evet
0%
Hayır
100%
$50.1M Vol.
Fed rate hike in 2026?
68%
chance
Yes
No
$8.1M Vol.
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
4.0%
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
3.75%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
4.25%
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
3.5%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
≥ 4.5%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
3.25%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$6.8M Vol.
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
October Meeting
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
September Meeting
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$3.3M Vol.
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Other
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
52%
Yes
52%
No
48%
Pause–Pause–Pause
49%
Yes
49%
No
51%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$808k Vol.
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
86%
Yes
86%
No
14%
Other
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Pause–Pause–Cut
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$803k Vol.
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
60%
Yes
60%
No
40%
Pause–Pause–Pause
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
Pause–Pause–Cut
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Pause–Cut–Cut
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$730k Vol.
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
17%
chance
Yes
No
$437k Vol.
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase
49%
Yes
49%
No
51%
No change
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
25 bps decrease
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
50+ bps increase
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$393k Vol.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%
66%
Yes
66%
No
34%
5.0%
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
5.2%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
5.5%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
5.7%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
6.0%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$290k Vol.
Fed Decision in January?
No change
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
25 bps increase
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
25 bps decrease
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
50+ bps decrease
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
50+ bps increase
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$56k Vol.
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
1
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
2
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
3
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
4+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$33k Vol.
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
3
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
2
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
1
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
0
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
4+
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
$9k Vol.
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
3
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
4+
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
1
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
0
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
$7k Vol.
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
December 31
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
November 30
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
October 31
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
September 30
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$7k Vol.
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3
42%
Yes
42%
No
58%
2
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
4+
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
1
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
0
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
$74 Vol.
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